10
Awaiting Christmas
4yo Gelding · 8-9
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#14
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Deauville | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 15th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 20/05/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 16/10/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 26/11/2025 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/03/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 31/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |