13
Baileys Bachelor
5yo Gelding · 8-7
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 54% | -0.32 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 31/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/04/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |