15

Cath Hoche

3yo Filly · 8-6

Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1285/05C5C5 @ ParisLongchamp 29/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12429/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 04/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1224/07C5C5 @ Vichy 18/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12218/07C5C5 @ Dax 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12931/07C5C5 @ Deauville 05/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Gd 1255/08C5projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-05Deauville?4th8th4
2025-07-31Dax?1st5th4
2025-07-18Vichy?4th8th4
2025-07-04La Teste De Buch?5th9th4
2025-05-29ParisLongchamp?3rd7th4
2025-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st5th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0529/054/0718/0731/075/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 18
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength12%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
29/05/20253rd7/163%67%+0.04
04/07/20255th7/282%0%-0.82
18/07/20254th9/276%40%-0.36
31/07/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
05/08/20254th33/10%50%+0.50