12
Darlinghurst
5yo Gelding · 8-7
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#16
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 18/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 09/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |