1
Lesslepasser
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#13
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |