11
Major Oak
6yo Gelding · 8-8
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Deauville | 2 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 14/10/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 26/11/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/01/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |