6

Ozan

8yo Gelding · 8-13

Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12331/07C5C0 @ Deauville 16/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 129C5 @ Chantilly 15/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12415/09C5C0 @ Deauville 26/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1342 @ Deauville 30/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 13430/0122 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 134C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13112/05C?2 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 5f102y GS 1272 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12513/072projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Dieppe21st2nd1
2026-06-23Dieppe25th6th1
2026-05-12Chantilly?13th13th0
2026-04-14Chantilly216th17th1
2026-01-30Deauville211th12th1
2025-11-26Deauville?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0726/1112/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
16/08/20254th25/10%82%+0.82
15/09/20259th11/486%11%-0.74
26/11/202514th25/10%13%+0.13
30/01/202611th40/10%33%+0.33
14/04/202616th28/10%0%0.00
12/05/202613th28/10%20%+0.20
23/06/20265th11/142%73%+0.31
13/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32