14
Regalien
7yo Horse · 8-6
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 05/03/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/03/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 05/04/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 23/06/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |