8
Royalwood
6yo Mare · 8-11
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#15
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 18
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 17/03/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 36% | -0.20 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 30/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 7% | -0.35 |