17
Simply Lovely
8yo Gelding · 8-5
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-10-14 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 16/08/2025 | 15th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 14/10/2025 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |