7
Etincelle
3yo Filly · 8-12
Deauville · Sky Sports Racing Prix De Psyche - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage (fillies' Group 3) · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |