3
Evita
3yo Filly · 8-12
Deauville · Sky Sports Racing Prix De Psyche - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage (fillies' Group 3) · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength21%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |