6
Moon Target
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 108
Deauville · Prix Rothschild - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage - World Pool By Pmu (fillies' Group 1) · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Newmarket | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Newmarket | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Doncaster | 1 | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Goodwood | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/08/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 11/09/2025 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 14% | -0.80 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |