14
Grand Macho
5yo Gelding · 8-11
Deauville · Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.41 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 27/04/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 13/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |