8

Idee De Cheval
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Deauville · Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 23% | -0.56 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 42% | -0.40 |
| 09/05/2026 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 7% | -0.51 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |