6
Match Anthem
5yo Gelding · 9-3
Deauville · Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 9th | 13th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 16
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength18%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 06/03/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 47% | -0.09 |
| 26/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |