1
Nootka Bay
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Deauville · Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 03/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 23/03/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 21% | -0.21 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |