12
Umami
4yo Filly · 8-12
Deauville · Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/01/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.29 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 25/05/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |