15

With Zest

4yo Filly · 8-11

Deauville · Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y

#13

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Deauville 07/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1237/0233 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1253 @ Chantilly 12/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12312/0333 @ Chantilly 30/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1203 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12711/0433 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1284 @ Compiegne 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1209/0544 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1203 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13018/063projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp311th11th0
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp46th7th1
2026-05-09Compiegne45th6th1
2026-04-25Compiegne37th7th0
2026-04-11Fontainebleau38th8th0
2026-03-30Chantilly39th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0230/039/0518/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
27/02/202613th66/10%0%0.00
12/03/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
30/03/20269th66/10%20%+0.20
11/04/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
25/04/20267th18/15%50%+0.45
09/05/20265th18/15%71%+0.66
21/05/20266th20/10%50%+0.50
18/06/202611th16/116%17%+0.01