15

With Zest
4yo Filly · 8-11
Deauville · Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/02/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |