14
Bacchilide
7yo Gelding · 8-8
Deauville · Prix De Cagny - World Pool By Pmu Handicap · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 18/12/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/01/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 26/03/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |
| 23/06/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |