7
Bauhinia Rhapsody
6yo Gelding · 8-12
Deauville · Prix De Cagny - World Pool By Pmu Handicap · 5f 212y
#15
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/05/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 17/06/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 07/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/04/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/05/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |