4
Bid For Chester
5yo Gelding · 9-3
Deauville · Prix De Cagny - World Pool By Pmu Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Toulouse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 30/11/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 28/02/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 17/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 13/07/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |