12
Bonjour Ca Va
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Deauville · Prix De Cagny - World Pool By Pmu Handicap · 5f 212y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Nancy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 17/03/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 05/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 13/07/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |