16
Fuchsia
9yo Mare · 8-6
Deauville · Prix De Cagny - World Pool By Pmu Handicap · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 18/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |