3
Prince Aubois
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Cagny - World Pool By Pmu Handicap · 5f 212y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-27 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 94% | +0.89 |
| 27/10/2025 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |