8

Charismatic Chick

4yo Filly · 9-1

Deauville · Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y

#16

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12314/0434 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 120C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12512/05C?4 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 5f102y Gd 1274 @ Evreux 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12426/0543 @ Dieppe 06/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 1273 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 5f102y GS 13023/0633 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1173 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12713/073projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Dieppe38th8th0
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp35th5th0
2026-06-23Dieppe312th12th0
2026-06-06Dieppe38th8th0
2026-05-26Evreux48th9th1
2026-05-17Le Croise-Laroche47th8th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0417/0523/0613/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20265th16/116%67%+0.51
20/04/20267th9/276%45%-0.31
12/05/202611th18/15%29%+0.23
17/05/20267th9/153%57%+0.05
26/05/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
06/06/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
23/06/202612th25/10%21%+0.21
09/07/20265th28/10%60%+0.60
13/07/20268th14/126%42%+0.15