13

Ciaccino
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Deauville · Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 31/03/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 54% | -0.01 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 16/04/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |