13

Ciaccino

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Deauville · Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12017/0333 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1284 @ Moulins 09/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1309/0443 @ ParisLongchamp 16/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1243 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 11225/0433 @ ParisLongchamp 14/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 1123 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1135/0633 @ Saint-Cloud 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1273 @ Deauville 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 11226/063projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Deauville36th6th0
2026-06-12Saint-Cloud32nd2nd0
2026-06-05Compiegne32nd2nd0
2026-05-14ParisLongchamp38th8th0
2026-04-25Compiegne39th9th0
2026-04-16ParisLongchamp310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0316/045/0626/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/202611th8/158%33%-0.25
31/03/20267th17/255%54%-0.01
09/04/20264th11/142%67%+0.25
16/04/202610th17/255%25%-0.30
25/04/20269th12/137%33%-0.04
14/05/20268th18/15%36%+0.31
05/06/20262nd14/126%92%+0.66
12/06/20262nd2/189%90%+0.01
26/06/20266th5/174%44%-0.29