5

D Day Man

7yo Gelding · 9-2

Deauville · Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 04/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1304/12C?C0 @ Chantilly 27/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 128C0 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12721/01C?3 @ Chantilly 20/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1283 @ Chantilly 12/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12512/0333 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1243 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1228/0433 @ Saint-Cloud 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1243 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12818/063projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp33rd3rd0
2026-05-29Saint-Cloud34th4th0
2026-04-08Deauville33rd3rd0
2026-03-26Chantilly312th12th0
2026-03-12Chantilly314th14th0
2026-02-20Chantilly312th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1220/028/0418/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/12/20252nd6/168%93%+0.25
27/12/20259th14/126%47%+0.20
21/01/20268th22/10%46%+0.46
20/02/202612th33/10%0%0.00
12/03/202614th20/10%7%+0.07
26/03/202612th25/10%15%+0.15
08/04/20263rd28/10%83%+0.83
29/05/20264th28/10%73%+0.73
18/06/20263rd11/271%83%+0.12