7

Gray D'albion

6yo Gelding · 9-1

Deauville · Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 04/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1194/04C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 24/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 127C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 11/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12411/06C?C0 @ Vichy 16/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 138C0 @ Lyon La Soie 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1308/11C?4 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1284 @ ParisLongchamp 16/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13116/0444 @ Saint-Cloud 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1324 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f156y GS 13221/064projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Lyon-Parilly44th5th1
2026-05-29Saint-Cloud41st2nd1
2026-04-16ParisLongchamp45th6th1
2026-03-26Chantilly44th5th1
2025-11-08Lyon La Soie?9th9th0
2025-07-16Vichy?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0416/0716/0421/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/202510th14/126%0%-0.26
24/04/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
11/06/20255th9/153%71%+0.19
16/07/20257th12/137%40%+0.03
08/11/20259th11/142%20%-0.22
26/03/20264th14/126%77%+0.51
16/04/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
29/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
21/06/20264th3/184%50%-0.34