2

The Charm

7yo Gelding · 9-5

Deauville · Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12821/0133 @ Chantilly 12/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1233 @ Fontainebleau 28/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 11628/0234 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1313 @ ParisLongchamp 16/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12316/0433 @ ParisLongchamp 03/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 1283 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 13020/0533 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1313 @ Saint-Cloud 05/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1275/073projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Saint-Cloud313th13th0
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp35th5th0
2026-05-20Compiegne313th13th0
2026-05-03ParisLongchamp315th15th0
2026-04-16ParisLongchamp31st1st0
2026-04-08Deauville43rd4th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/018/0420/055/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength36%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/202610th33/10%31%+0.31
12/02/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
28/02/20268th14/126%42%+0.15
08/04/20263rd8/158%82%+0.24
16/04/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
03/05/202615th9/153%0%-0.53
20/05/202613th28/10%8%+0.08
18/06/20265th11/142%67%+0.25
05/07/202613th13/266%8%-0.58