14
Zaahir
10yo Gelding · 8-7
Deauville · Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMU Handicap · 7f 100y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 27/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/03/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |