7
Surfin' U. S. A.
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 97
Del Mar · Race 6 - Allowance · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 29/11/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 01/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |