5
Yours Sincerely
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 99
Del Mar · Race 6 - Allowance · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength92%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-10-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 81% | +0.65 |
| 16/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |