3
Miss Mandalay
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 107
Del Mar · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2024 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 09/02/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 01/03/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 06/04/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 04/05/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |