No Cap
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 103
Del Mar · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |