4
O K Rose
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 100
Del Mar · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 24/05/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 31/08/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 24/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |