2
Sweet Gal Of Mine
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 103
Del Mar · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2024 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 15/09/2024 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 16/10/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 03/01/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 04/05/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 28/07/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |