4
Bad Reputation
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 99
Del Mar · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2016-07-08 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2015-08-14 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2015-07-24 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2015-07-10 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2015 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2015 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2015 | 5th | 15/1 | 21% | 20% | -0.01 |
| 14/08/2015 | 4th | 15/1 | 21% | 40% | +0.19 |
| 08/07/2016 | 7th | 30/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |