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Brilliant Berti

5yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 118

Ellis Park · Race 10 - Green River Island S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Churchill Downs 01/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 112 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark01/05/2025 · OR 112 par1/05C5OR 112C1 @ Churchill Downs 31/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 113 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 113 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 28/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 116 · 1m110y Fm 118 · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 116 par28/06C?OR 116C1 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 110 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 110 parC0 @ Keeneland 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 110 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 110 par4/10C?OR 110C1 @ Fair Grounds 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 124 · 1m1f Fm 118 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 124 parC0 @ Keeneland 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 119 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 119 par10/04C?OR 119C1 @ Churchill Downs 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 125 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 125 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 123 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 123 par27/06C?OR 123projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Churchill Downs?4th4th0
2026-05-30Churchill Downs?4th4th0
2026-04-10Keeneland?5th5th0
2026-02-14Fair Grounds?4th4th0
2025-10-04Keeneland?3rd3rd0
2025-09-06Kentucky Downs?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/056/0910/0427/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength70%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
31/05/20252nd2/189%83%-0.06
28/06/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
06/09/20254th4/179%75%-0.04
04/10/20253rd20/10%80%+0.80
14/02/20264th5/287%67%-0.20
10/04/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
30/05/20264th7/282%63%-0.19
27/06/20264th13/266%63%-0.03