1
Sumood
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 103
Ellis Park · Race 10 - Green River Island S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 25/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 90% | -0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |