8

In Total Awe

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 100

Ellis Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f110y 11828/06C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Churchill Downs?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00