Majestical
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 85
Ellis Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 1st | +5 |
| 2025-12-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |