1
Dreaming Of Alys
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 91
Ellis Park · Race 6 - Pucker Up S. Presented By Ag Revolution · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength21%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/08/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 10/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |