IvyArcIvyArc
6

East Jabip

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 109

Ellis Park · Race 6 - Pucker Up S. Presented By Ag Revolution · 1m 1f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 26/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m Fm 12226/02C6C5 @ Keeneland 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 106 par9/04C5OR 106C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m Fm 12313/05C?C5 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 109 · 1m Gd 118 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 109 par27/06C5OR 109projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Churchill Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-05-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-04-09Keeneland?1st1st0
2026-02-26Gulfstream?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/029/0413/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/02/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
09/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
13/05/20265th8/1397%56%-0.41
27/06/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07