7
Embrace Time
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 102
Ellis Park · Race 6 - Pucker Up S. Presented By Ag Revolution · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |