4
How About Now
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 98
Ellis Park · Race 6 - Pucker Up S. Presented By Ag Revolution · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |