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My Own

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 107

Ellis Park · Race 8 - Tri-state Turf Sprint Stakes · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Ellis Park 03/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 79 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark03/07/2025 · OR 79 par3/07C5OR 79C5 @ Ellis Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 24/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 6f 118 · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 86 par24/09C8OR 86C7 @ Churchill Downs 09/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 91 · 6f 118 · below its mark09/11/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Turfway Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 95 par9/01C5OR 95C6 @ Turfway Park 19/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 100 · 6f 123 · beat its mark19/02/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Turfway Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 100 par13/03C6OR 100C6 @ Churchill Downs 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 107 · 5f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 107 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f Fm 12510/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-14Churchill Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-04-18Keeneland?−1
2026-03-13Turfway Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-02-19Turfway Park?1st2nd−1
2026-01-09Turfway Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/079/1113/0310/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength56%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/202511th33/10%0%0.00
26/07/202510th20/10%18%+0.18
24/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
09/11/20255th11/271%33%-0.38
09/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
19/02/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
13/03/20262nd11/1094%75%-0.19
14/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
10/07/20265th8/158%43%-0.15