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10

Love You Anyway

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 96

Ellis Park · Race 9 - Sunkissed S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 09/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Fm 1189/02C6C1 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 96 parC6 @ Keeneland 17/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark17/04/2025 · OR 100 par17/04C6OR 100C5 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 107 · 1m Gd 118 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 107 parC5 @ Keeneland 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 106 par24/10C5OR 106C1 @ Aqueduct 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 118 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 106 parC1 @ Tampa Bay Downs 31/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 106 par31/01C1OR 106C5 @ Keeneland 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 107 · 1m110y Fm 118 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 107 par8/04C5OR 107projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-08Keeneland?1st1st0
2026-01-31Tampa Bay Downs?10th10th0
2025-11-23Aqueduct?2nd2nd0
2025-10-24Keeneland?3rd3rd0
2025-09-06Kentucky Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-06-28Churchill Downs?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/026/0931/018/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength91%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
08/03/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
17/04/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
06/09/20252nd5/287%91%+0.04
24/10/20253rd13/266%82%+0.16
23/11/20252nd14/126%83%+0.57
31/01/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
08/04/20261st7/491%100%+0.09