7

Medoro

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 109

Ellis Park · Race 9 - Sunkissed S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Santa Anita 27/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 105 · 1m2f Fm 124 · beat its mark27/12/2024 · OR 105 par27/12C?OR 105C5 @ Del Mar 21/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 125 · beat its mark21/07/2025 · OR 108 parC0 @ Del Mar 07/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 114 · 1m1f Fm 120 · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 114 par7/09C?OR 114C1 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 114 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 114 parC0 @ Del Mar 30/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 113 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 113 par30/11C?OR 113C5 @ Fair Grounds 17/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 111 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 111 parC5 @ Fair Grounds 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 110 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 110 par14/02C5OR 110C0 @ Keeneland 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 110 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 110 parC1 @ Churchill Downs 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 116 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 116 par30/05C1OR 116projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Churchill Downs?5th5th0
2026-04-11Keeneland?3rd3rd0
2026-02-14Fair Grounds?2nd2nd0
2026-01-17Fair Grounds?1st1st0
2025-11-30Del Mar?6th6th0
2025-11-01Del Mar?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/121/1114/0230/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength59%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20243rd7/163%80%+0.17
21/07/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
07/09/20252nd1/297%88%-0.10
01/11/20253rd9/488%80%-0.08
30/11/20256th11/486%38%-0.48
17/01/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
14/02/20262nd5/493%88%-0.06
11/04/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
30/05/20265th5/287%33%-0.54