7

Medoro
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 109
Ellis Park · Race 9 - Sunkissed S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 21/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 88% | -0.10 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |