13
Salty Senorita
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 96
Ellis Park · Race 9 - Sunkissed S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 31/05/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |